Russia Invades

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:10 pm

KateR wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 12:55 pm
I agree, was merely sharing some news regarding China and their input so far and what might happen, up until very recently they had done nothing, they abstained in the UN vote when many expected them to vote with Russia, they "appear" to be keeping well away from upsetting the financial system that has served them well up to now, once they embraced that part of capitalism.

This move for me is significant in allowing the Ruble to drop sharply and they will gain monetarily from the Russian economy being in the toilet, while not joining in regarding sanctions they closed an avenue, which was helping the Russian economy to some degree. By doing this it is contributing to the Russian financial hurt, which I think will be a main reason for the downfall and Putin's willingness to negotiate and allow a "retreat" through Ukraine concessions, but ultimately leading to a stop to this evil war.

I believe he never expected the fight on the ground or financially that has happened, but for him and his cronies it is only really the financial actions that have hurt them personally, it will obviously be someone else's fault and not there's.
Essentially Russia isn't a big enough economy to have the clout that the Chinese (and possibly the Indian) one has

You could argue as well that China and the West economy is so intertwined that any disruption to it would be really bad for both, while you certainly cannot make the same argument for the Russian

And if Russia are desperately discounting their oil to try to sell it to China or India, then all they are doing is turning themselves into being more reliant of those two rather than the West, and either option now requires Russia to be the junior partner

The miscalculations of Putin are just adding up

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:31 pm

Peter Caddick-Adams - on the bravery of Turkey’s stand against Russia, contrary to self interest

https://twitter.com/militaryhistori/sta ... 76133?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:39 pm

Historians are showing their support for Ukraine : History For Ukraine - a twenty four hour event, featuring historians from around the World, all giving their time to raise funds for Ukraine - 24hours of Ukrainian history lectures across several platforms.

https://twitter.com/familytreemaguk/sta ... 77156?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:40 pm

I was watching CNN this morning and they were interviewing a retired Lt Col, who had some interesting thoughts.

He believes that Russia will not succeed in encircling Kyiv, let alone taking the city.

His second surprise was he thought the Russian army would start to run out of supplies, ammo, missiles, even soldiers in 10 days time. His view that they have simply overstretched themselves.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:52 pm

Lowbankclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:40 pm
I was watching CNN this morning and they were interviewing a retired Lt Col, who had some interesting thoughts.

He believes that Russia will not succeed in encircling Kyiv, let alone taking the city.

His second surprise was he thought the Russian army would start to run out of supplies, ammo, missiles, even soldiers in 10 days time. His view that they have simply overstretched themselves.
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/sta ... 7529313282

Similar analysis about the encirclement of Kyi'v

The lack of any real drive in the past three to four days does suggest that Russia is in severe danger of losing the initiative

Course, they are also using it to try to sort out their logistics, and and will involve trying to capture the supply hubs like Mariupol/Sumy/Kharki'v

I don't even want to think about how long that could take them, even if its possible, and the infrastructure damage will be immense

The West has to promise asap to rebuild Ukraine, because if Putin can't capture it, he'll try to destroy as much of it as he can before he pulls out

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:55 pm

If you want to go into that more deeply, then here is the whole report summarised in the above article

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... t-march-13

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:09 pm

REUTERS: UK believe it is ‘very unlikely’ that Russian missiles will stray into NATO

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 13632?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:12 pm

Garry Kasparov with footage of Mariupol

https://twitter.com/kasparov63/status/1 ... 83712?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:16 pm

NEXTA report on Daily Mail article - Putin suffering from Brian disorder brought on by dementia, rages or Parkinson’s brought on by Steroid abuse following from Cancer treatment according to intelligence reports they have seen.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 69872?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:19 pm

Ukrainian children receive a warm welcome on their first day at schools in Italy

https://twitter.com/benphillips76/statu ... 42178?s=21
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:22 pm

Nervous Russian soldiers see first hand the strength of Ukrainian feeling in Kherson NEXTA

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 54144?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:25 pm

Peter Caddick-Adams talking about the ‘brain drain’ in Russia as thousands escape into neighbouring countries and away from Repression.

https://twitter.com/militaryhistori/sta ... 53186?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by claretonthecoast1882 » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:27 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:19 pm
Ukrainian children receive a warm welcome on their first day at schools in Italy

https://twitter.com/benphillips76/statu ... 42178?s=21
What a lovely heart-warming clip
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:36 pm


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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Vegas Claret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:43 pm


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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:44 pm

More info on Germany’s plan to buy up to 35 Lockheed F35 fighter jets

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 41194?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:46 pm

Zelenshiy - there is no shades of grey in this war, you either support evil or you oppose it.

https://twitter.com/zelenskyyua/status/ ... 90213?s=21
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by bfcjg » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:46 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:19 pm
Ukrainian children receive a warm welcome on their first day at schools in Italy

https://twitter.com/benphillips76/statu ... 42178?s=21
That genuinely brought a lump to my throat and a tear to my eye,love conquers all, it has to.
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:48 pm

Caaddick-Adams retweet, re: Russian air losses

https://twitter.com/iaponomarenko/statu ... 36742?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:51 pm

India once again seeming to confirm its sympathy to totalitarianism. (Over recent years it has become clear the current incumbent in India is no democrat) and are looking to exploit the Russian fuel market. REUTERS

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 82786?s=21
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:53 pm

Lancasterclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 1:55 pm
If you want to go into that more deeply, then here is the whole report summarised in the above article

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... t-march-13
Thank you, very informative. I have saved that website.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Spijed » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:54 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:46 pm
Zelenshiy - there is no shades of grey in this war, you either support evil or you oppose it.

https://twitter.com/zelenskyyua/status/ ... 90213?s=21
Wonder what Ukraine's trading status with China is in that respect?

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by jos » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:56 pm


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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:57 pm

Azov (Neo-fascists expelled from the Ukrainian Home guard units) are actively recruiting to fight for Russia. REUTERS

https://twitter.com/arisroussinos/statu ... 72641?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by GodIsADeeJay81 » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:00 pm

That's the wrong link Elwa
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:06 pm

GodIsADeeJay81 wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:00 pm
That's the wrong link Elwa
Changed now, thank you.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:08 pm

Taiwan warns China again about abuse of its airspace REUTERS

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 34948?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Masham Ale » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:08 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:19 pm
Ukrainian children receive a warm welcome on their first day at schools in Italy

https://twitter.com/benphillips76/statu ... 42178?s=21
That set me off did that
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by HahaYeah » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:24 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:57 pm
Azov (Neo-fascists expelled from the Ukrainian Home guard units) are actively recruiting to fight for Russia. REUTERS

https://twitter.com/arisroussinos/statu ... 72641?s=21

So the neo nazi Azov battalion were fighting for Ukraine but now they are fighting for Russia?

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:46 pm

HahaYeah wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:24 pm
So the neo nazi Azov battalion were fighting for Ukraine but now they are fighting for Russia?
Not really, they were kicked out of Home guards when Zelenshiy took over as PM

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:51 pm

“If you want to know plans of Russia, look what they are accusing the West of” has become an oft heard message of the war. Russian message regarding Nuclear facility attacks.

https://twitter.com/fpwellman/status/15 ... 79618?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:54 pm

NEXTA: Russia sees NO REASON to send UN peacekeepers into Ukraine, they tell the UN

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 93441?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 3:57 pm

UN agree another Ukrainian humanitarian aid package, of $40m

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 20769?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:01 pm

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/statu ... 3098357765

Sounds like the peace talks are going "constructively"

Course, how that works out in reality is the key, but as long as they are still talking, there is hope

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:04 pm

Israel has finally announced they WILL comply with sanctions on Russia BARAK RAVID:

https://twitter.com/barakravid/status/1 ... 71463?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:08 pm

Ukraine Wepons tracker reporting to show a Ukrainian ammo storage depot struck by Russian artillery

https://twitter.com/uaweapons/status/15 ... 04551?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:10 pm

An interesting article, worth a read. From someone who is there.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... sians.html

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Taffy on the wing » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:11 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:19 pm
Ukrainian children receive a warm welcome on their first day at schools in Italy

https://twitter.com/benphillips76/statu ... 42178?s=21
Beautiful!......Children are pure of heart.
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:16 pm

NEXTA: Russia threatens to block Google unless You Tube stop blocking Russian state TV broadcasts of the War

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 54055?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Taffy on the wing » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:22 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 2:51 pm
India once again seeming to confirm its sympathy to totalitarianism. (Over recent years it has become clear the current incumbent in India is no democrat) and are looking to exploit the Russian fuel market. REUTERS

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 82786?s=21
Modi is a Hindu Nationalist.
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:22 pm

NEXTA report Ukraine’s Danilov has information that suggests Russia is about to start dressing Belarus troops in Russian Uniforms to send them into Ukraine to fight.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 01474?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:27 pm

Very sorry to report the pregnant lady whose picture flashed around the world being carried on a stretcher has died along with her baby. Rumours now confirmed by the BBC

https://twitter.com/bbcworld/status/150 ... 56288?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:29 pm

Kyiv reporting they have stocks of rations for at least another two weeks. Kyiv Independent

https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/sta ... 16672?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:32 pm

Defence analyst HI Sutton warns Russian ships are moving towards Berdyansk

https://twitter.com/covertshores/status ... 80551?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:35 pm

REUTERS: The Philippines follow Thailand inWarning China to respect their territorial space, this time over a naval incursion.

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 12838?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:38 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:22 pm
NEXTA report Ukraine’s Danilov has information that suggests Russia is about to start dressing Belarus troops in Russian Uniforms to send them into Ukraine to fight.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 01474?s=21
I have read a few articles on them Belarusian soldiers.
They apparently refused to cross the border last week. Lots quit and went home.

Not sure what clothing will suddenly make them want to fight.

I truely hope they stay put.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:41 pm

NEXTA Czech authorities to ban all but humanitarian visa’s from Russia

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/150 ... 50371?s=21

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:43 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:35 pm
REUTERS: The Philippines follow Thailand inWarning China to respect their territorial space, this time over a naval incursion.

https://twitter.com/reuters/status/1503 ... 12838?s=21
Elwa, the Chinese stuff is literally happening every week. Its a fascinating topic worthy of its own thread, but like the Iran missile launch, its so routine these days sadly

Point is, they are not related to the Russian invasion of Ukraine

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:44 pm

Lowbankclaret wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:38 pm
I have read a few articles on them Belarusian soldiers.
They apparently refused to cross the border last week. Lots quit and went home.

Not sure what clothing will suddenly make them want to fight.

I truely hope they stay put.
All they will do is add to the Russian supply issues, and the leader of Belarus has absolutely no wish to be anymore involved in the Russia man made disaster that is its invasion of Ukraine

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:48 pm

Spijed wrote:
Mon Mar 14, 2022 4:45 pm
Unlike sanctioning Russia I doubt the West could afford to do the same with China, due to the loss in trade.
Point is that the Chinese v its neighbours stuff has been going on for about 10 years

Its fascinating (google Chinese man made islands in the South China Sea) but its nothing to do with Russia invading Ukraine

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