Russia Invades

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:57 pm

NEXTA: Shoigu reported to Putin about seizure of entire Luhansk region

According to Shoigu, Russian troops have captured Lysychansk and nearby settlements, largest of which are Belogorovka, Novodruzhesk, Maloryazantsevo, and Belaya Gora.

Kyiv has not yet commented on this information.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/154 ... uj2tITvkUQ

… Ukraine has moved quickly to deny this, NEXTA and BBC:

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/154 ... uj2tITvkUQ

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:17 pm

ELIT NEWS: Rejection that Ukraine re using US provided weapons to strike inside Russia, insisting Ukraine are instead using captured Russian musicians for such strikes.

https://twitter.com/jimmysecuk/status/1 ... uj2tITvkUQ

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Vino blanco » Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:27 pm

Laser guided balalaikas?

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by HahaYeah » Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:39 pm

Probably means 'munitions' but you never know.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Vegas Claret » Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:47 pm

...
Attachments
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sun Jul 03, 2022 8:33 pm

NATO supplied 155mm howitzers operating on the Eastern Front

https://twitter.com/AlexeyKovalen10/sta ... 9451421697

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Vegas Claret » Mon Jul 04, 2022 12:25 am


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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Jul 04, 2022 10:18 am

https://twitter.com/economistmeg/status ... 1214448640

US supplying more gas to Europe via LNG than Russia is by pipeline for the first time ever

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by bfcjg » Tue Jul 05, 2022 8:02 am

https://twitter.com/i/status/1543952771631747073
Some of the high tech rocket launchers hopefully a few more of these and Russia will be on the back foot.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Tue Jul 05, 2022 12:36 pm

NEW VOICE OF UKRAINE: There is firm evidence that Russian ships have been delivering stolen Ukrainian grain to Turkey, journalists from Ukrainian television’s Skhemy investigative program said in a report.

https://twitter.com/newvoiceukraine/sta ... jgBSCX9Fuw

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Tue Jul 05, 2022 1:21 pm

ROB LEE: I think this is the first indication that units from the 18th Machine Gun Artillery Division have been deployed to Ukraine.

18th Machine Gun Artillery Division from Sakhalin (Japan) got involved in Ukraine .
Russian 200th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade is being refilled with “volunteers” from ship crews.
This shows damage done to Russian army during capture of Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk.


https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1544 ... jgBSCX9Fuw

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by It Is What It Is » Tue Jul 05, 2022 1:35 pm

If the Western politicians had fiercely stood up to Putin's invasion of the Crimea, where they just let his goons take over and land grab it as though it was ok.....the Ukraine invasion would never have happened.
Appeasement does not work
Nothing obviously learnt from WW2.
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Tue Jul 05, 2022 3:17 pm

https://twitter.com/mercoglianos/status ... 0907503616

Two foreign flagged ships seized by the Donetsk Peoples Republic (only recognised by Russia and Syria) in Mariupol

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by bpgburn » Tue Jul 05, 2022 3:57 pm

It Is What It Is wrote:
Tue Jul 05, 2022 1:35 pm
If the Western politicians had fiercely stood up to Putin's invasion of the Crimea, where they just let his goons take over and land grab it as though it was ok.....the Ukraine invasion would never have happened.
Appeasement does not work
Nothing obviously learnt from WW2.
...except how to avoid WW3.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Tue Jul 05, 2022 6:37 pm

Not posted for a while.

Looks like the HIMARS are being very effective, I have read about over ten munition storage facilities have now been taken out with spectacular results. Several images on Twitter of said explosions. When Russia is using the flatten the earth and progress policy. Best way to halt it is take out its munitions.
Russia having taken a train load of munitions from Belarus tells you they are running low on stock.

I have just been reading Russia is offering convicts a pardon and £3,000 if they return alive from Ukraine after a 6 month tour of duty. Based on what I have read on Russian troops returning, you have a bout a 5% chance of coming home alive.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... tages.html

So in summary, the Russian troops are running out of munitions and men.

But I add I have also read the Ukrainians have lost up to 80% of their best troops is the most experienced battalions. So it’s also not good for them.

On a positive note the Ukrainians are now being taught here in the UK. I read an article which said the UK military had prepared a 4 week program , but the soldiers that arrived were more experienced than expected. Concentrated harder than UK recruits, well they have a purpose, our recruits normally don’t expect to be in battle a couple of weeks later. The Ukrainians only wanted very short breaks and wanted longer hours of learning. They were trained on equipment we will be sending back with them.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by LeadBelly » Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:13 pm

elwaclaret wrote:
Tue Jul 05, 2022 1:21 pm
ROB LEE: I think this is the first indication that units from the 18th Machine Gun Artillery Division have been deployed to Ukraine.

18th Machine Gun Artillery Division from Sakhalin (Japan) got involved in Ukraine .
Russian 200th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade is being refilled with “volunteers” from ship crews.
This shows damage done to Russian army during capture of Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk.


https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1544 ... jgBSCX9Fuw
To make it more clear (as it sounds above like Japanese troops have got involved in Ukraine): Sakhalin isn't part of Japan, it's north of the most northerly main Japanese island of Hokkaido. Historically it's been part of China/ part of the Mongolian Empire and disputed by all the major powers in the region. It was once held by Japan and the island was once split north to Russia/ south to Japan but now part of Russia (by conquest in 1945 and then by treaty in 1951).

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Wed Jul 06, 2022 12:09 pm

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1544495879884886017

Very good thread on Russian artillery dumps and supply, and the real effect that enhanced Ukrainian artillery and Western munitions will have on that

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by bfcjg » Wed Jul 06, 2022 12:39 pm

Lancasterclaret wrote:
Wed Jul 06, 2022 12:09 pm
https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1544495879884886017

Very good thread on Russian artillery dumps and supply, and the real effect that enhanced Ukrainian artillery and Western munitions will have on that
I found that very informative cheers for link.
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Wed Jul 06, 2022 6:48 pm


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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Damo » Thu Jul 07, 2022 7:11 am

£2 per litre at the pumps now.
Bring it on

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by ecc » Thu Jul 07, 2022 10:17 am

"Ukraine tensions run high as Lavrov flies into Bali for G20 foreign ministers summit"

The Western leaders should boycott this IMO. The man's hands are covered in blood.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... ers-summit

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by ecc » Thu Jul 07, 2022 11:16 am

LeadBelly wrote:
Tue Jul 05, 2022 9:13 pm
To make it more clear (as it sounds above like Japanese troops have got involved in Ukraine): Sakhalin isn't part of Japan, it's north of the most northerly main Japanese island of Hokkaido. Historically it's been part of China/ part of the Mongolian Empire and disputed by all the major powers in the region. It was once held by Japan and the island was once split north to Russia/ south to Japan but now part of Russia (by conquest in 1945 and then by treaty in 1951).
What are the implications of this?

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Vegas Claret » Thu Jul 07, 2022 2:56 pm

ecc wrote:
Thu Jul 07, 2022 10:17 am
"Ukraine tensions run high as Lavrov flies into Bali for G20 foreign ministers summit"

The Western leaders should boycott this IMO. The man's hands are covered in blood.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/ ... ers-summit
they should arrest him

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by ecc » Thu Jul 07, 2022 2:59 pm

Indeed.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Thu Jul 07, 2022 6:46 pm

https://twitter.com/denys_hubashov/stat ... 5935822850

More on NATO artillery/MRLS , and the difference it makes

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Fri Jul 08, 2022 2:23 pm

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1 ... 0189651968

Clearest sign yet that as Moscow concentrates on Ukraine, its losing its satellite nations elsewhere

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Colburn_Claret » Fri Jul 08, 2022 3:53 pm

Vegas Claret wrote:
Thu Jul 07, 2022 2:56 pm
they should arrest him
No Link, but he has left early as the other reps refused to have an official photo taken with him, and the G7 refused to attend the official dinner, because of his presence.
I'd prefer his nuts in a vice, but at least he knows it's not going to go away.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Fri Jul 08, 2022 7:34 pm

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1545475749162917888

Ukrainian forces reoccupying Snake Island

(no way they are staying there, but its a pretty symbolic victory)

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by bfcjg » Fri Jul 08, 2022 8:03 pm

https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war- ... t-12648298
The evil brutality of the "liberators" just shows why the West has to keep supporting Ukraine,they have to be defeated.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Jul 09, 2022 3:42 pm

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/vi ... 1657377332

Video of UK troops training Ukrainians

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Jul 09, 2022 3:57 pm

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1 ... 8098395136

German Gepard AA tanks due to be delivered to Ukraine by the end of the month

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by LeadBelly » Sat Jul 09, 2022 6:54 pm

ecc wrote:
Thu Jul 07, 2022 11:16 am
What are the implications of this?
I was just clarifying that there were no Japanese troops fighting for Russia (which the original quote "...18th Machine Gun Artillery Division from Sakhalin (Japan) got involved in Ukraine..." seemed to indicate).
However, given Sakhalin is about as far away from Ukraine as you can get and still be in Russia, it probably indicates how hard up Russia is for trained troops to fight its war in Ukraine.
Presumably also they are short of the troop and materiel levels that they usually have around their far spread borders. I guess that's something that may encourage some of the border states to be a bit more assertive against Moscow.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sat Jul 09, 2022 8:32 pm

LeadBelly wrote:
Sat Jul 09, 2022 6:54 pm
I was just clarifying that there were no Japanese troops fighting for Russia (which the original quote "...18th Machine Gun Artillery Division from Sakhalin (Japan) got involved in Ukraine..." seemed to indicate).
However, given Sakhalin is about as far away from Ukraine as you can get and still be in Russia, it probably indicates how hard up Russia is for trained troops to fight its war in Ukraine.
Presumably also they are short of the troop and materiel levels that they usually have around their far spread borders. I guess that's something that may encourage some of the border states to be a bit more assertive against Moscow.
Yup

Sweden and Finland have taken the opportunity to join NATO

Kazakhstan is basically breaking free as well

I read something from a Finnish website that one of the main Russian military bases facing them is basically 1/2 full, as they have had to send them to Ukraine

I would imagine that is replicated on their "quiet" borders (ie Sakhalin) but if it gets to the stage where they have to pull troops out of disputed areas then it really could get quite ugly for the Russians

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sun Jul 10, 2022 7:35 pm


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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Sun Jul 10, 2022 7:40 pm

Thread on scheduled maintenance on Nord Stream 1, and why it might not be turned back on, and how the EU is set up to deal with that eventually

https://twitter.com/PascalLTH/status/15 ... 3331230721

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by LeadBelly » Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:03 pm

Ive seen a few reports today that for once there is more artillery fire going from Ukraine occupied areas to Russian occupied than vice versa. Put down to the successful attacks on Russian large ammo storage locations by US/Nato provided long distance/guided artilery.

A fair few vids of big bonfires in the last few days, this morning a big one Shakhtarsk - a few images from various angles collected at https://twitter.com/hashtag/Shakhtarsk? ... htag_click

One at Alchevsk https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 1789073408
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Colburn_Claret » Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:46 pm

LeadBelly wrote:
Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:03 pm
Ive seen a few reports today that for once there is more artillery fire going from Ukraine occupied areas to Russian occupied than vice versa. Put down to the successful attacks on Russian large ammo storage locations by US/Nato provided long distance/guided artilery.

A fair few vids of big bonfires in the last few days, this morning a big one Shakhtarsk - a few images from various angles collected at https://twitter.com/hashtag/Shakhtarsk? ... htag_click

One at Alchevsk https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status ... 1789073408
Nice bonfires, fingers crossed it gives Ukraine time to regroup

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by elwaclaret » Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:47 pm

NEXTA: Russian military shot 56 people in Luhansk region

Russian soldiers in Kremennaya drove up to nursing home on a tank and started shooting at point-blank range at elderly people. As a result invaders killed 56 people. Head of Luhansk military administration, Serhiy Hayday

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/154 ... xZWTnOktgw

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by NewClaret » Sun Jul 10, 2022 10:43 pm

From what I can tell, these HIMARS systems have been transformational for the war.

I look at the losses on the Kyiv Independent twitter each night and there’s been a big shift in what the Russians are losing - less tanks, more people & more fuel tanks. More planes/helicopters too, but small numbers. That with the videos of ammo dumps being hit would suggest to me they’ve either changed tactics or run out of switchblades/precision munitions (therefore a forced change)? Or maybe the Russians have run out of tanks to hit? They’ve lost so many.

To keep destroying the ammo stores is obviously very wise. The Russians surely can’t sustain all these losses and keep their forces supplied? Must also be a huge advantage to be able to switch how the war is being fought, particularly against convicts/conscripts who presumably won’t know how to adapt?

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Vegas Claret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 4:35 am

elwaclaret wrote:
Sun Jul 10, 2022 9:47 pm
NEXTA: Russian military shot 56 people in Luhansk region

Russian soldiers in Kremennaya drove up to nursing home on a tank and started shooting at point-blank range at elderly people. As a result invaders killed 56 people. Head of Luhansk military administration, Serhiy Hayday

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/154 ... xZWTnOktgw
mother *******

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by bfcjg » Mon Jul 11, 2022 7:53 am

This is Hitler's opinion of Russia taken from Mein Kampf,
The most despicable evil man of all time describing the current.most evil man living, how history repeats itself and how we fail to learn from history.

"Never forget that the rulers of present-day Russia are common blood-stained criminals; that they are the **** of humanity which, favoured by circumstances, overran a great state in a tragic hour, slaughtered out thousands of her leading intelligentsia in wild bloodlust, and now for almost ten years have been carrying on the most cruel and tyrannical regime of all time.

Furthermore, do not forget that these rulers belong to a race which combines, in a rare mixture, bestial cruelty and an inconceivable gift for lying, and which today more than ever is conscious of a mission to impose its bloody oppression on the whole world. "

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:18 am

NewClaret wrote:
Sun Jul 10, 2022 10:43 pm
From what I can tell, these HIMARS systems have been transformational for the war.

I look at the losses on the Kyiv Independent twitter each night and there’s been a big shift in what the Russians are losing - less tanks, more people & more fuel tanks. More planes/helicopters too, but small numbers. That with the videos of ammo dumps being hit would suggest to me they’ve either changed tactics or run out of switchblades/precision munitions (therefore a forced change)? Or maybe the Russians have run out of tanks to hit? They’ve lost so many.

To keep destroying the ammo stores is obviously very wise. The Russians surely can’t sustain all these losses and keep their forces supplied? Must also be a huge advantage to be able to switch how the war is being fought, particularly against convicts/conscripts who presumably won’t know how to adapt?
I think it’s been interesting to see the change in tactics and then the Wests response to those changes in weapons supplied.

The Switchblades 300’s it appears have not been very effective from what I have read. They don’t appear to have enough explosive in them . The Ukrainians now appear to be using home made quadcopters, similar to the ones you can buy as kits on Amazon. They are using them to drop mortar rounds with 3D printed fins on them.

The HIMARS need good intel with GPS Co-ordinates to be very effective, it looks like someone is giving the Ukrainians that good intel. Currently the range is 70-80km with an accuracy of 3 meters. With pallet loading and very quick shoot and scoot technique. It’s very effective and hard to shoot back at.
The new munitions being supplied have the 300km range, I can see the Crimean to Russian bridge sinking when that gets there.

The Russian tank loses we’re unsustainable, small groups moving together were being hit by very small groups of Ukrainians with Javelins.
So now the Russians are just using artillery to destroy what’s in front of them and then moving en mass to capture that ground.

Belarus sent a train load of ammunition to Russia last week, which tells you they are starting to run low. So the HIMARS taking out ammo stores is as you say a great tactic .

Ukrain will soon have 8 HIMARS, and the ammo which can fire 300km.
No supply route or command and control center in the Russians held territory will be out of range to Ukraine then.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:22 am

Here’s a thread where Russian soldiers are complaining about very effective HIMAR strikes.

https://twitter.com/jayinkyiv/status/15 ... _DpyLBd8eA

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:26 am

There was a thread on Russian tank numbers on twitter that I can't find

Essentially Russia started off with 3,200 modern MBTs, and they have lost between 700-1,200 (depending on sensible, realistic or optimistic forecasts)

That 3,200 is their entire armoury of modern tanks btw

They have potentially 1000's of outdated tanks in storage but realistically most of them will be scrap, and even cannibalising them to run just means they have 100s of death traps (the older T-62s you are seeing in the hands of the Luhansk/Donestk troops have huge issues with ammo storage and protection)

I think they have also announced an "operational pause" now they have secured (at unsustainable costs) Sieverdonestk and Lychyansk, and they woulnd't be announcing that if they thought they had smashed as many Ukrainians units as they have claimed

And as has been mentioned, the extra artillery and MRLS that the Ukrainians have now got from the West make their supply issues back into the problems they had in K'yiv and the surrounding areas

One thing is for sure unfortunately, is that this is going to go on for a while yet

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:03 am

Just been watching speak the truth utube channel and he says Ukraine has 18 HIMARS now.

https://youtu.be/3CDLp2IhGFY

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:05 am

Lancasterclaret wrote:
Mon Jul 11, 2022 9:26 am
There was a thread on Russian tank numbers on twitter that I can't find

Essentially Russia started off with 3,200 modern MBTs, and they have lost between 700-1,200 (depending on sensible, realistic or optimistic forecasts)

That 3,200 is their entire armoury of modern tanks btw

They have potentially 1000's of outdated tanks in storage but realistically most of them will be scrap, and even cannibalising them to run just means they have 100s of death traps (the older T-62s you are seeing in the hands of the Luhansk/Donestk troops have huge issues with ammo storage and protection)

I think they have also announced an "operational pause" now they have secured (at unsustainable costs) Sieverdonestk and Lychyansk, and they woulnd't be announcing that if they thought they had smashed as many Ukrainians units as they have claimed

And as has been mentioned, the extra artillery and MRLS that the Ukrainians have now got from the West make their supply issues back into the problems they had in K'yiv and the surrounding areas

One thing is for sure unfortunately, is that this is going to go on for a while yet
Here you go, I was just reading it.

https://twitter.com/iaponomarenko/statu ... _DpyLBd8eA

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by JarrowClaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:29 am

I was reading an update from my friend who is fighting over there this morning. He has just returned from the south was putting in fire missions for HIMARS amongst other things said they have hit around 28 Russian ammo dumps which has made it highly unlikely that they will be able to resupply affectively anytime soon.
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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lowbankclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:38 am

JarrowClaret wrote:
Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:29 am
I was reading an update from my friend who is fighting over there this morning. He has just returned from the south was putting in fire missions for HIMARS amongst other things said they have hit around 28 Russian ammo dumps which has made it highly unlikely that they will be able to resupply affectively anytime soon.
Good, great news.

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 10:44 am

Posted it earlier in this thread, but a US logistics expert says that the Russians completely rely on railway lines and dumps for their forward supply as they don't have the facilities or the vehicles to do anything else

Ukraine took a huge toll of their supply chain in the first few months, especially around Ky'iv, so them now having the extra capacity to hit further behind Russian lines will just make this a lot worse

I wonder if the Russians are thinking of transitioning to the defensive as that requires a lot less supply and they could then refit/rearm their best units as some sort of "fire brigade" that rushes to where Ukraine are on the verge of breaking through?

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Re: Russia Invades

Post by Lancasterclaret » Mon Jul 11, 2022 11:21 am

Rest is History podcast did a great four part series on the background to this (from the fall of the Soviet Union onwards)

Episodes 159-162
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