Russia Invades
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Re: Russia Invades
https://www.army-technology.com/analysi ... d-ukraine/
Analysis of the supply/maintenance issues that Ukraine have with the arrival of (much needed) equipment from NATO armies
Sourcing ammunition and spare parts for the ex-Soviet equipment that equips the majority of the Ukrainian units is going to be a big issue, which could hasten its move towards much more Western equipment
Course, that will take a fair bit of time to sort out
Analysis of the supply/maintenance issues that Ukraine have with the arrival of (much needed) equipment from NATO armies
Sourcing ammunition and spare parts for the ex-Soviet equipment that equips the majority of the Ukrainian units is going to be a big issue, which could hasten its move towards much more Western equipment
Course, that will take a fair bit of time to sort out
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Re: Russia Invades
Javelin strike on a Russian tank
You can clearly see what the Javelin aims for and hits (the more unprotected areas of the tank behind the turret)
https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1549867894821064705
You can clearly see what the Javelin aims for and hits (the more unprotected areas of the tank behind the turret)
https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1549867894821064705
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Re: Russia Invades
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1550202847681282048
Deal signed to allow the export of Ukrainian grain
Really good news
Deal signed to allow the export of Ukrainian grain
Really good news
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Re: Russia Invades
I'd like to be positive, but why do you trust Putin to stick to any agreement.Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Thu Jul 21, 2022 8:39 pmhttps://twitter.com/guardian/status/1550202847681282048
Deal signed to allow the export of Ukrainian grain
Really good news
I wouldn't trust him as far as I could spit.
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Re: Russia Invades
Its gives him some good kudos with countries outside the alliance against himColburn_Claret wrote: ↑Thu Jul 21, 2022 8:47 pmI'd like to be positive, but why do you trust Putin to stick to any agreement.
I wouldn't trust him as far as I could spit.
Its in his interests as Ukraine essentially has unlimited credit from the west, so its not like he can strangle the Ukrainian economy
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Re: Russia Invades
I get that, and I'm not trying to be argumentative, but you are judging him as a rational man, and time has shown that he is far from that.Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Thu Jul 21, 2022 8:55 pmIts gives him some good kudos with countries outside the alliance against him
Its in his interests as Ukraine essentially has unlimited credit from the west, so its not like he can strangle the Ukrainian economy
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Re: Russia Invades
Oh don't worry I get thatColburn_Claret wrote: ↑Thu Jul 21, 2022 9:09 pmI get that, and I'm not trying to be argumentative, but you are judging him as a rational man, and time has shown that he is far from that.
I think he's rational, but he's listened to what he wants to hear for too long and thats why he made the miscalculation that he did
But this is a very rational act, and its a win/win for him
He needs all the international support he can get
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Re: Russia Invades
Sorry if this has already been posted …. Broken Ties, families with opposing views and Russian propaganda
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qmQs2LbnaE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qmQs2LbnaE
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Re: Russia Invades
https://twitter.com/nickschifrin/status ... 5227687937
US military reckons that 85% of the Russian military is involved in Ukraine
They must be completely down to the bare bones everywhere else
US military reckons that 85% of the Russian military is involved in Ukraine
They must be completely down to the bare bones everywhere else
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Re: Russia Invades
I saw this Russian tv piece a few days ago but I couldnt evaluate whether it was real or a Micky-take on the Russian way of doing things by the Ukrainians.
It appears there was something on Russian TV about how families can get some benefit from having their sons killed - via lump-sum payment. In this instance enabling them to buy a new Lada for that trip to the cemetery.
https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1549163986075131904
It's good that families get some recompense but the tone of this coverage is very crass/very Russian.
It appears there was something on Russian TV about how families can get some benefit from having their sons killed - via lump-sum payment. In this instance enabling them to buy a new Lada for that trip to the cemetery.
https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1549163986075131904
It's good that families get some recompense but the tone of this coverage is very crass/very Russian.
Re: Russia Invades
Hopefully some of the people seeking freedom from Moscow will take advantage and maybe another front might open up.Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:06 pmhttps://twitter.com/nickschifrin/status ... 5227687937
US military reckons that 85% of the Russian military is involved in Ukraine
They must be completely down to the bare bones everywhere else
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Re: Russia Invades
If all that is true, a massively uplifting read. Especially about HIMARS taking out “100 high value targets”.Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 5:06 pmhttps://twitter.com/nickschifrin/status ... 5227687937
US military reckons that 85% of the Russian military is involved in Ukraine
They must be completely down to the bare bones everywhere else
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Re: Russia Invades
I'd be inclined to trust the figures, if only because the US/NATO signit will be as good as it gets
Essentially when you are seeing the Russian fielding tanks that were made closer to the end of WWII than now its hard not to disagree that they are really struggling
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Re: Russia Invades
https://breakingdefense.com/2022/07/4-q ... -strategy/
Good opinion piece on where the West goes from here
Good opinion piece on where the West goes from here
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Re: Russia Invades
Surely with all these ammo dumps and targets being hit, the Ukrainians will want to try and attack them while they’re wounded soon?Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 11:00 pmI'd be inclined to trust the figures, if only because the US/NATO signit will be as good as it gets
Essentially when you are seeing the Russian fielding tanks that were made closer to the end of WWII than now its hard not to disagree that they are really struggling
Re: Russia Invades
The implication is that we will have to spend more on weapons and that of course means less on other things. It also means that the weapons industry will expand and perhaps stay expanded with all that implies - not just jobs but a more weaponised world.Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 11:09 pmhttps://breakingdefense.com/2022/07/4-q ... -strategy/
Good opinion piece on where the West goes from here
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Re: Russia Invades
I think I said on Page two of this thread that the invasion would change everything
It is essentially back to the Cold War and that means increased defence spending
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Re: Russia Invades
Russia took massive losses yesterday - 240 troops according to the Ukrainians. Whilst I know not everyone trusts their data, I’d assume there’s some relativity in the numbers.
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Re: Russia Invades
The Ukrainians encircled a town in the south yesterday, various claims of up to 2000 Russian soldiers cut off.
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Re: Russia Invades
Well worth a watch this. It’s the speak the truth podcast.this guy was fighting in Ukraine from the start of May. From what I read yesterday he was with the Dirty Dozen who post on Twitter. He must have an angel watching over him as he should really be dead. Really interesting podcast.
https://youtu.be/GOqk-OlNBw0
https://youtu.be/GOqk-OlNBw0
Re: Russia Invades
Very interesting, such a modest laid back blokecas well.Lowbankclaret wrote: ↑Sat Jul 23, 2022 11:23 amWell worth a watch this. It’s the speak the truth podcast.this guy was fighting in Ukraine from the start of May. From what I read yesterday he was with the Dirty Dozen who post on Twitter. He must have an angel watching over him as he should really be dead. Really interesting podcast.
https://youtu.be/GOqk-OlNBw0
Re: Russia Invades
So Moscow and Kyiv sign an agreement yesterday whereby Russia agreed not to target ports while grain shipments were in transit.
And then this morning...two missiles hit the city of Odesa in the early hours of Saturday morning, Ukraine's military said.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62276392
And then this morning...two missiles hit the city of Odesa in the early hours of Saturday morning, Ukraine's military said.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62276392
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Re: Russia Invades
quite surprised at how slow the Jav travels towards it, very accurateLancasterclaret wrote: ↑Thu Jul 21, 2022 8:35 pmJavelin strike on a Russian tank
You can clearly see what the Javelin aims for and hits (the more unprotected areas of the tank behind the turret)
https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1549867894821064705
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Re: Russia Invades
https://uk.yahoo.com/finance/news/putin ... 00380.html
More on the economy,
More on the economy,
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Re: Russia Invades
Interesting in that the cold War was essentially the west arming up to save the 'free world' from Soviet communism. Now its to save our free world capitalism from Russia's version. So all this time the we were all prepared to blow ourselves up, many times over, basically because NATO / USA don't like Russia in whatever form political guise they have.
Re: Russia Invades
https://uk.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-strip ... 47124.html
Interesting article on Russian drones and on how they can bypass sanctions to get components.
Interesting article on Russian drones and on how they can bypass sanctions to get components.
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Re: Russia Invades
Thats an interesting point of viewCirrus_Minor wrote: ↑Sat Jul 23, 2022 7:13 pmInteresting in that the cold War was essentially the west arming up to save the 'free world' from Soviet communism. Now its to save our free world capitalism from Russia's version. So all this time the we were all prepared to blow ourselves up, many times over, basically because NATO / USA don't like Russia in whatever form political guise they have.
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Re: Russia Invades
https://twitter.com/girkingirkin/status ... stEFWRZ65g
My first pictures I have seen of Stormer HVM in theatre. Interesting points to note
3 HVM and 5 Martlet loaded
They have the IFF antenna on top of the launcher (the square things)
Unless they have changed it, the ADAD (Alerting Device) seems to be missing ( I can make a done shape where it should it could be the cover but it looks clear to me.
My first pictures I have seen of Stormer HVM in theatre. Interesting points to note
3 HVM and 5 Martlet loaded
They have the IFF antenna on top of the launcher (the square things)
Unless they have changed it, the ADAD (Alerting Device) seems to be missing ( I can make a done shape where it should it could be the cover but it looks clear to me.
Re: Russia Invades
It was always about Russia in whatever guise - even in the days of the Tsars.Cirrus_Minor wrote: ↑Sat Jul 23, 2022 7:13 pmInteresting in that the cold War was essentially the west arming up to save the 'free world' from Soviet communism. Now its to save our free world capitalism from Russia's version. So all this time the we were all prepared to blow ourselves up, many times over, basically because NATO / USA don't like Russia in whatever form political guise they have.
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Re: Russia Invades
I think it quite possible that this wasn't deliberate but the nature of war.ecc wrote: ↑Sat Jul 23, 2022 4:12 pmSo Moscow and Kyiv sign an agreement yesterday whereby Russia agreed not to target ports while grain shipments were in transit.
And then this morning...two missiles hit the city of Odesa in the early hours of Saturday morning, Ukraine's military said.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62276392
Putin doesn't press the button to launch these rockets. There will be a list of targets and priorities which will have been agreed at the highest levels perhaps. His military people will then work their way through those lists. Odessa is clearly on that list and it just happened that the timing of this attack was already planned a while back.
I agree it's possible that Putin ordered this attack directly - I've no idea how long an order from Putin takes to reach the men on the ground and for them to activate it.
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Re: Russia Invades
We have kept giving Putin the benefit of the doubt that is the reason why Ukrainian or in this mess. Putin knows exactly what he is doing and as no intention of honouring any treaty or agreement.
His war as forced the gas and oil price higher so that the oil sanctions have had little or no impact on the economy (rouble unchanged)
His war as forced the gas and oil price higher so that the oil sanctions have had little or no impact on the economy (rouble unchanged)
Re: Russia Invades
I'm not sure I see any benefit for Russia in reneging on a treaty agreed with Turkey and the UN that will benefit mostly non-Western allied countries. He will lose all these potential friends for no purpose whatsoever.Top Claret wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 8:31 amWe have kept giving Putin the benefit of the doubt that is the reason why Ukrainian or in this mess. Putin knows exactly what he is doing and as no intention of honouring any treaty or agreement.
His war as forced the gas and oil price higher so that the oil sanctions have had little or no impact on the economy (rouble unchanged)
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Re: Russia Invades
I see no benefit for Russia in Putin's war with the Ukrainian.
Putin as no friends in the West, the rest of the world don't care, they will just keep taking his cheap oil and gas.
This is a war Putin is waging with Europe and the rest of the world watches from a distance. China and India are getting cut priced Russian oil and gas, whilst the oil producing nations are raking in the dollars through the high fuel prices.
Winter months away and the flaky EU especially the Germans, French and Italians will be concerned about winter energy. I wouldn't be surprised if the EU are now doing back handed deals with Putin for winters gas and oil. You won't see any of the promised arms and weaponry arriving in the Ukrainian from Germany I can assure you of that its a smoke screen
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Re: Russia Invades
Kyiv Independent: Ambassador Brink: US 'seriously considering' declaring Russia a state sponsor of terrorism.
U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink said on July 24 that Washington was looking into the decision, but it has to be "carefully analyzed in accordance with American law."
https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/sta ... RzYfMKvaQw
Also…
A resolution calling on Secretary of State Antony Blinken to recognize Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism was registered in the U.S. Senate on May 10.
On June 23, the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee supported the resolution.
https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/sta ... RzYfMKvaQw
U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink said on July 24 that Washington was looking into the decision, but it has to be "carefully analyzed in accordance with American law."
https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/sta ... RzYfMKvaQw
Also…
A resolution calling on Secretary of State Antony Blinken to recognize Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism was registered in the U.S. Senate on May 10.
On June 23, the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee supported the resolution.
https://twitter.com/kyivindependent/sta ... RzYfMKvaQw
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Re: Russia Invades
100% guarantee that it was ordered by Putin, to show the world that Russia isn't constrained by other states, and does what it wantsHipper wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 7:03 amI think it quite possible that this wasn't deliberate but the nature of war.
Putin doesn't press the button to launch these rockets. There will be a list of targets and priorities which will have been agreed at the highest levels perhaps. His military people will then work their way through those lists. Odessa is clearly on that list and it just happened that the timing of this attack was already planned a while back.
I agree it's possible that Putin ordered this attack directly - I've no idea how long an order from Putin takes to reach the men on the ground and for them to activate it.
realpolitik
It doesn't mean that they won't stick to the agreement by the way, but they will attack grain ships if they think it is in their interests
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Re: Russia Invades
Look, can you keep the Daily Mail opinion pieces out of this please?Top Claret wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 9:27 amI see no benefit for Russia in Putin's war with the Ukrainian.
Putin as no friends in the West, the rest of the world don't care, they will just keep taking his cheap oil and gas.
This is a war Putin is waging with Europe and the rest of the world watches from a distance. China and India are getting cut priced Russian oil and gas, whilst the oil producing nations are raking in the dollars through the high fuel prices.
Winter months away and the flaky EU especially the Germans, French and Italians will be concerned about winter energy. I wouldn't be surprised if the EU are now doing back handed deals with Putin for winters gas and oil. You won't see any of the promised arms and weaponry arriving in the Ukrainian from Germany I can assure you of that its a smoke screen
The Grain deal already allows Russia to bypass some of its stuff via sanctions, and though that isn't ideal, the idea of a famine in Africa because of the West refusal to allow Russia some crumbs isn't one that anyone wants to see
Its been said on here numerous times, but its worth repeating - the flaky EU nations are amongst the biggest supporters of Ukraine, certainly in armaments, and the French Ceasar SP artillery in particular (because it out ranges anything the Russians have got)
Germany is lagging behind, but there are good (and bad!) reasons for this, and what they have promised of a non-offensive nature has arrived on time (helmets, flak jackets etc)
And again, it is worth saying Russia can cut off the oil and gas to Europe, and its economy will collapse long before any of the ones in the West do
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Re: Russia Invades
Anyone know how Germany are doing on reducing reliance on Russian fuel? I thought they said they’d do it by this winter? Or am I mistaken on that?
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Re: Russia Invades
280 troops killed, 14 tanks and 13 APVs destroyed yesterday. Much higher than normal, so sounds like this battle is ongoing.Lowbankclaret wrote: ↑Sat Jul 23, 2022 11:16 amThe Ukrainians encircled a town in the south yesterday, various claims of up to 2000 Russian soldiers cut off.
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Re: Russia Invades
Building two LPG terminals to get natural gas from the Gulf/US
Turning back on the coal fired powers stations that are in reserve
The longer Russia resists the urge to turn off the taps, the longer the EU will be able to cope due to a stringent contingency plan (already posted on here)
But it will be a tough winter for all of us if Russia decides to do it (but not as tough as it would be in Russia)
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Re: Russia Invades
That's a valuable link, bfcjg. Thanks for posting.
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Re: Russia Invades
Just pointing out facts mateTop Claret wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 1:00 pmKeep your Green Nett zero socialist politics where they belong with the kids who know no better on the Lancaster University campus
Final word
Do one Snow Flake
No need to get all grumpy about it
Re: Russia Invades
This is a very important thread of interest to numerous posters,please can we keep it informed and objective, name calling risks getting it locked and quite frankly your opinion of a fellow Claret who has provided very incisive comment and knowledge is totally out of order.Top Claret wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 1:00 pmKeep your Green Nett zero socialist politics where they belong with the kids who know no better on the Lancaster University campus
Final word
Do one Snow Flake
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Re: Russia Invades
NEXTA: The Russian Ministry of Defense officially announced that the strike in Odesa was carried out on the territory of a shipyard.
They claim that as a result of the strike, a Ukrainian warship and a warehouse of Harpoon missiles were destroyed.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/155 ... RzYfMKvaQw
They claim that as a result of the strike, a Ukrainian warship and a warehouse of Harpoon missiles were destroyed.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/155 ... RzYfMKvaQw
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Re: Russia Invades
Thanks bfcjg. Some shocking electricity access figures there!
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Re: Russia Invades
When I suggested that a few days back, you said he wouldn't.....Lancasterclaret wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 12:25 pm100% guarantee that it was ordered by Putin, to show the world that Russia isn't constrained by other states, and does what it wants
realpolitik
It doesn't mean that they won't stick to the agreement by the way, but they will attack grain ships if they think it is in their interests
The only thing we can be sure of, where Putin is concerned, is that you cannot trust him as far as you could spit. Bartering with him is a pointless exercise, which is why Macron needs to stop talking to him. The only thing it signifies to Moscow, is that they are getting to us.
NATO should step in and provide a Naval escort for the grain ships, and defend them from any attack. So long as they don't dock in Ukraine, Putin might not like it, but there is very little he could do about it. The West just have to point out they are making sure that HIS agreement is honoured.
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Re: Russia Invades
I was wrong!Colburn_Claret wrote: ↑Sun Jul 24, 2022 9:08 pmWhen I suggested that a few days back, you said he wouldn't.....
The only thing we can be sure of, where Putin is concerned, is that you cannot trust him as far as you could spit. Bartering with him is a pointless exercise, which is why Macron needs to stop talking to him. The only thing it signifies to Moscow, is that they are getting to us.
NATO should step in and provide a Naval escort for the grain ships, and defend them from any attack. So long as they don't dock in Ukraine, Putin might not like it, but there is very little he could do about it. The West just have to point out they are making sure that HIS agreement is honoured.
NATO can't escort the ships, as that is a step too far I think
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Re: Russia Invades
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/sta ... 4430472192
Philiips O'Brien summary from this morning
Seems pretty spot on
Philiips O'Brien summary from this morning
Seems pretty spot on