The Middlesbrough math
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The Middlesbrough math
If they win all 12 they have 93 points. We need to win 6
If they win 11 from 12 they have 90 points. We need to win 5
If they win 10 from 12 they have 87 points. We need to win 4
If they win 9 from 12 they have 84 points. We need to win 3
If they win 8 from 12 they have 81 points. We need to win 2
If they win 7 from 12 they have 78 points.We need to win 1
Draws not included. Worst case, we need to win 50% of our remaining games. So far we have won 65%
Certainly puts some clarity onto it
If they win 11 from 12 they have 90 points. We need to win 5
If they win 10 from 12 they have 87 points. We need to win 4
If they win 9 from 12 they have 84 points. We need to win 3
If they win 8 from 12 they have 81 points. We need to win 2
If they win 7 from 12 they have 78 points.We need to win 1
Draws not included. Worst case, we need to win 50% of our remaining games. So far we have won 65%
Certainly puts some clarity onto it
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Go and lay down in a dark room
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I’m on Weggy watch
Re: The Middlesbrough math
...s
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
FOUR
MORE
WINS
MORE
WINS
Re: The Middlesbrough "MYTH"
Have corrected the thread titleNRC wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 4:32 pmIf they win all 12 they have 93 points. We need to win 6
If they win 11 from 12 they have 90 points. We need to win 5
If they win 10 from 12 they have 87 points. We need to win 4
If they win 9 from 12 they have 84 points. We need to win 3
If they win 8 from 12 they have 81 points. We need to win 2
If they win 7 from 12 they have 78 points.We need to win 1
Draws not included. Worst case, we need to win 50% of our remaining games. So far we have won 65%
Certainly puts some clarity onto it
Re: The Middlesbrough math
I reckon we will get 8 more from the 12 games left playing like we did yesterday
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Play like yesterday and it will be more like 12
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I need a rest….too many pictures of people smiling…in fact, don’t make it stop!!
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
The four more games from Robbo is to win in at Blackburn. Middlesbrough would have to lose in 3 of the next four for that to happen (I think)
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
We are mathematically up. Stop fretting.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I reckon two wins will be enough. If Boro average two points a game until the end of the season, which is normally considered promotion form, then they’re on 81 points. Two more wins takes us to 82.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Are we beating Fleetwood?
If the answer is yes then we aren't playing Blackburn on the 18th March.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Barring a Devon Loch style collapse, we must be more than a shoe in for promotion. We really need to finish as league winners to mark this wonderful season.
Re: The Middlesbrough math
I normally fall on the pessimistic side, however even I have no doubt we are going up this year. Total focus for me is on the title and if / when we will win it. As someone who is away for the Sunderland home and boro away games, I can live with missing being officially promoted but I hope to high heaven I don’t miss us winning the title.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Three things I'd like to see us achieve over the rest of this season
Win the title
Get a minimum of 100 points
Beat B@stards
Win the title
Get a minimum of 100 points
Beat B@stards
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
If the race for the title was a boxing match the ref would’ve called it by now
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
We’ve been promoted for so long that the fat lady has died of old age.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
And get to WembleyAGENT_CLARET wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 5:44 pmThree things I'd like to see us achieve over the rest of this season
Win the title
Get a minimum of 100 points
Beat B@stards
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Judging by Saturday’s ref I’m surprised they already haven’t.Robbie_painter wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 5:47 pmIf the race for the title was a boxing match the ref would’ve called it by now
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
We are 1/20 to win the league and 1/100 for promotion, I think that says it all
Re: The Middlesbrough math
And if my Aunt had b.. ls she'd have been my uncle.
Re: The Middlesbrough math
Only 8 more wins based on yesterdays performance? I do appreciate that Uddersield are gash, but if we play like we did yesterday, I reckon we win more than 8 regardless of the fact we have to play b******s and Boro away and Sheff U at home.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
We are up , dont worry about ifs , but's and maybe's
Re: The Middlesbrough math
Sorry Bosscat, I had missed your winky smile face emoji which I am assuming is sarcasm?
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I stand by my claim. They don’t hand out A-levels in mathematics to just anyone.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I'll bet you have a 3 whiteboard formula that proves we are promoted. A-level Maths is not really an indication of numeracy if I remember rightly.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Does getting to the semifinal count as playing at Wembley in the traditional sense* because we've already played there just a few seasons ago against Spurs?
*only the final should be played there btw.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Bugger just beating 100 points ...AGENT_CLARET wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 5:44 pmThree things I'd like to see us achieve over the rest of this season
Win the title
Get a minimum of 100 points
Beat B@stards
I want VK to mastermind a record breaking season and break "107 points ... minimum"
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
It was a long time ago, but I believe the course was split into mechanics and statistics. However I distinctly remember a module in statistics where the tutor proved that a team with a 19 point gap to third position with just 12 games remaining were mathematically certain to win promotion. I’ll try and dig out my course notes.
Re: The Middlesbrough math
No need Riley we believe you ... HonestRileybobs wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 6:30 pmIt was a long time ago, but I believe the course was split into mechanics and statistics. However I distinctly remember a module in statistics where the tutor proved that a team with a 19 point gap to third position with just 12 games remaining were mathematically certain to win promotion. I’ll try and dig out my course notes.
Re: The Middlesbrough math
Middlesbrough fans would donate a kidney for 7 wins!
Title: Maths in the UK. Math in America.
Title: Maths in the UK. Math in America.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I have a golden rule for these things which has never let me down - as soon as the word mathematically even enters the conversation, before it becomes factually true, it is in essence done.
Re: The Middlesbrough math
add 100 goalsAGENT_CLARET wrote: ↑Sun Feb 26, 2023 5:44 pmThree things I'd like to see us achieve over the rest of this season
Win the title
Get a minimum of 100 points
Beat B@stards
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Can anyone mathematically intelligent with 15 minutes to spare look at the fixtures and inform as to their best guess as to which match will be the most likely one that we win the title?
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I was reading the other day that in the last 30 years the average points total for a 3rd place finish in the Championship was just under 83 and the highest 3rd place total was 90.
It’d be a surprise this season saw a 3rd placed team get the highest total in 30 years.
It’d be a surprise this season saw a 3rd placed team get the highest total in 30 years.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
I don’t think we will lose again this season
We will win the league comfortably
Only question is with how many points
We will win the league comfortably
Only question is with how many points
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
Last 10 years 3rd place points tally:
2021/22 = 82 (Huddersfield)
2020/21 = 87 (Brentford)
2019/20 = 81 (Brentford)
2018/19 = 83 (Leeds)
2017/18 = 88 (Fulham)
2016/17 = 85 (Reading)
2015/16 = 89 (Brighton)
2014/15 = 86 (Norwich)
2013/14 = 85 (Derby)
2012/13 = 77 (Watford)
Can’t see Boro getting a better tally than the best years from the above, so we’re looking at a maximum of 12 points required in my view.
2021/22 = 82 (Huddersfield)
2020/21 = 87 (Brentford)
2019/20 = 81 (Brentford)
2018/19 = 83 (Leeds)
2017/18 = 88 (Fulham)
2016/17 = 85 (Reading)
2015/16 = 89 (Brighton)
2014/15 = 86 (Norwich)
2013/14 = 85 (Derby)
2012/13 = 77 (Watford)
Can’t see Boro getting a better tally than the best years from the above, so we’re looking at a maximum of 12 points required in my view.
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Re: The Middlesbrough math
If we beat Sheff U at home then we only need another 7 wins and a draw to guarantee being Champions. If we beat Middlesbrough then we only need 5 wins to be mathematically certain. However we only have 5 points spare if we are to beat Reading's point record